Blog The Yankees are most likely to keep Aaron Judge as a player

It’s possible that Aaron Judge’s time in a Yankees uniform is over. If he departs the Yankees, the San Francisco Giants and the Los Angeles Dodgers are among the betting favorites to sign the 30-year-old home run champion.

Is this the logical conclusion? Aaron Judge, a star player for the New York Yankees and a leading candidate for AL MVP, is a free agent for the first time this offseason. Even if he does return to wearing pinstripes in 2023 or later, it is by no means guaranteed.

All eyes are on Judge as the annual winter meetings are already happening and Jacob deGrom has already secured a huge deal with the Texas Rangers. Latest speculations, according to Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic, suggest he would sign a nine-year contract with the highest bidder in free agency.

The current OKBET Baseball betting MLB odds on acquiring Judge are listed below. As on the 4th of December, however, they are no longer available.

The situation at a glance

Prior to the 2022 season, the Yankees offered Aaron Judge a seven-year deal worth $213.5 million. The outfielder declined and chose to put his faith in himself. A new AL and Yankees single-season record of 62 home runs was set, and the 2017 AL Rookie of the Year benefited greatly from this. Minnesota Twins shortstop Luis Arraez concluded the season with a.317 hitting average, just short of the mark needed to capture the Triple Crown.

The New York Yankees just made Judge a qualifying offer for the 2023 season at a salary of $19.65 million. Unsurprisingly, he turned it down, but if he contracts with another team next offseason, the Yankees will get a compensation choice.

Judge will become the 10th player in MLB history to sign a contract for more than $300 million, and no amount of draft-pick compensation can dampen his market whether he stays in the Bronx or goes elsewhere.

Favorites to land Aaron Judge

New York Yankees | -165

In spite of the jeers and the apparent rising hostility in the Bronx, the Yankees are still the favorites to land Judge in 2023 and beyond, according to oddsmakers. There’s an argument to be made for continuity and for establishing oneself as the next great Yankees superstar to join the likes of Babe Ruth, Lou Gehrig, Mickey Mantle, Joe DiMaggio, and Derek Jeter, all of whom played their whole careers for the Yankees.

In the event of his winning AL MVP, he will be the first Yankee to do it since Alex Rodriguez in 2007.

The Athletic’s Jim Bowden thinks New York will re-sign the four-time All-Star to an eight-year, $330 million contract, keeping him in New York until his age-38 season.

Even better, Yankees owner Hal Steinbrenner has kindly stated that he would “consider” promoting Judge to the position of “captain” if he were to return (sarcasm heavily implied).

San Francisco Giants | +170

At first glance, the Giants may appear to be an unusual team to take the lead in this battle. For the most part, San Francisco has been quite thrifty in its pursuit of free agents. While the eight-year, $167 million agreement handed to Buster Posey before the 2013 season was the highest contract ever given by the Giants to an existing player, Johnny Cueto’s contract in 2016 was the richest ever given to an incoming player.

Judge is likely to command a salary of $300 million, and those contracts don’t even come close to covering it.

Farhan Zaidi, president of baseball operations for the Giants, won’t have to worry about spending conservatively this offseason. According to NJ.com’s Randy Miller, Judge is at the top of the Giants’ wishlist, and if they don’t sign him, it won’t be because they were outbid. Both Giancarlo Stanton and Bryce Harper were targets of interest for the San Francisco Giants before they were signed by the New York Yankees and the Philadelphia Phillies, respectively. The Giants seem determined to avoid another disappointing finish.

After Carlos Rodon opted out of his deal, the Giants’ 2023 payroll commitment dropped to $71.5 million, putting them in a strong position to make some significant offseason acquisitions.

Having Judge as mayor would be a game-changer in the Bay Area. Barry Bonds hit.284 with 28 home runs in his final season with the Giants, 2007. Since then, only Brandon Belt, who turned 29 in 2021, has hit more home runs in an era marked by explosive bat speed (no Giants hitter has hit 30 or more in a season since 2004 Bonds).

Judge, like Bonds before him, boasts the sort of power that isn’t truly confined by any stadium, even though Oracle Park is extremely pitcher-friendly. And while the “hometown destination” storyline has been done to death, it’s worth noting that Judge attended high school in Linden, California, which is conveniently close to Oracle Park.

Los Angeles Dodgers | +550

In the end, only the wealthy prosper, right? Yes, I suppose that might happen.

Many dollars will be released from the Los Angeles Dodgers’ salary cap now that Trea Turner and Craig Kimbrel are both free agents. Mark Feinsand of MLB.com reports that the Red Sox’s current right fielder, Mookie Betts, is eager to switch positions with Judge and play second base.

Both the California link and the San Francisco connection would be important to the story, as would the Dodgers’ history. The Dodgers of Los Angeles are not only as competitive as the Yankees on a yearly basis (if not more so), but they have also won a World Series in the recent decade.

The Dodgers’ lineup protection may also make them more appealing. Though Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic wonders if Los Angeles will go all out for Judge after paying six years and $162 million to Freddie Freeman a year ago. A significant portion of future payroll would be locked up in contracts with aging stars if that happened.

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